IHSG Plunges 4.11% Following Moody’s Negative Outlook on Danantara Investment

 

JAKARTA — The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) suffered a sharp decline on Wednesday, June 3, 2026, closing deep in the red as a wave of negative investor sentiment swept the market. The downward pressure was primarily triggered by Moody’s assigning a Baa2 rating with a negative outlook to Danantara Investment Management.

According to IDX Mobile data, the JCI plummeted by 254.36 points, or 4.11%, to close at 5,941.07. Throughout the trading session, the index fluctuated between a low of 5,842 and a high of 6,213.18. Market liquidity remained significant, with a total transaction value of Rp25.19 trillion from 36.2 billion shares traded across 2.72 million transactions. Market breadth was notably weak, with 726 stocks declining, only 75 advancing, and 158 remaining stagnant.

Market Movers and Decliners

The sell-off was particularly heavy among LQ45 constituents. Leading the decline was PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk. (AMMN), which plunged 14.91% to Rp3,310, followed by PT Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk. (MDKA) with a 12.12% drop to Rp2,320. Other notable losers included PT Darma Henwa Tbk. (DEWA) down 11.98% to Rp294, PT Aneka Tambang (Persero) Tbk. (ANTM) falling 11.82% to Rp2,610, and PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk. (ADMR) slipping 10% to Rp1,305. On the other hand, a few stocks managed to provide minor support against the broader trend, including PT Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk. (MAPI), which rose 0.67% to Rp1,495, and PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk. (ITMG), which gained 0.34% to Rp22,075.

Drivers of the Market Downturn

The research team at Phintraco Sekuritas noted that the selling momentum intensified toward the end of the first session, pushing the index below the psychological support level of 6,000. Beyond the Moody’s credit rating outlook, the market faced pressure from a weakening Rupiah, which depreciated to Rp17,926 against the US dollar. This currency instability was exacerbated by a rebound in global oil prices, fueling investor concerns over a potential widening of the state budget (APBN) deficit and rising inflationary pressures.

The geopolitical impasse regarding peace negotiations between the US and Iran has driven oil prices higher, reversing previous corrections. This rise has sparked fears regarding inflation, which reached 3.08% year-on-year in May 2026. While inflation remains within the central bank’s target range of 1.5% to 3.5%, experts warn that sustained high energy costs could force the hand of Bank Indonesia (BI), increasing the likelihood of a BI Rate hike—a prospect generally viewed as unfavorable for equity markets.

MSCI Review Looms Over Investor Sentiment

Adding to the volatility, investors are bracing for the upcoming MSCI announcements in June 2026. Market participants are closely watching the MSCI 2026 Global Market Accessibility Review and the Annual Market Classification Review, both expected around June 18. These reports will evaluate capital market reforms and the accessibility of the Indonesian market for international investors.

Previously, MSCI expressed concerns regarding the transparency of share ownership and liquidity among certain Indonesian issuers, leading to discussions about the potential review of Indonesia’s status as an Emerging Market. After an initial extension in April 2026, investors are now waiting to see if these concerns have been sufficiently addressed.

Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Investment decisions remain the sole responsibility of the reader. Bisnis.com is not liable for any losses or gains resulting from the use of this information.

Summary

The Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) experienced a significant 4.11% decline on June 3, 2026, closing at 5,941.07. This sharp downturn was primarily triggered by Moody’s assigning a negative outlook to Danantara Investment Management, alongside a weakening Rupiah and rising global oil prices. The market sell-off was widespread, affecting major stocks such as AMMN, MDKA, and ANTM, while investors remained concerned about potential inflationary pressures and a possible interest rate hike by Bank Indonesia.

Market volatility was further compounded by looming uncertainty regarding the upcoming MSCI market classification review scheduled for June 2026. Investors are closely monitoring the report, which will evaluate Indonesia’s status as an Emerging Market following previous concerns over share ownership transparency and liquidity. This combination of credit rating issues, macroeconomic instability, and regulatory uncertainty has kept investor sentiment suppressed as they navigate the challenging market landscape.

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